The following appeared in a letter from a firm providing investment advice to a client."Homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating. Last year that region experienc

Essay topics:

The following appeared in a letter from a firm providing investment advice to a client.
"Homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating. Last year that region experienced 90 days with below-average temperatures, and climate forecasters at Waymarsh University predict that this weather pattern will continue for several more years. Furthermore, many new homes have been built in this region during the past year. Because these developments will certainly result in an increased demand for heating oil, we recommend investment in Consolidated Industries, one of whose major business operations is the retail sale of home heating oil."

The author of this argument recommends that investing in Consolidated Industries, which sales oil as home heating oil is profitable. To justify this recommendation, the author cites the following facts. According to the predictions, this city will experience cold weather in 90 days of years in several coming years. In addition, people have been built many homes in the past years, so the demand for oil will be increased.

Fist, relies on the fact that plenty of houses were built in the past years, the author claims that demand of oil as a fuel will be increased. However, it is not necessarily the case. The author ignores this point that new homes can use better material for isolation, which declines the fuel consumption. Moreover, it is possible that people decide to use new approaches to provide their fuels such as the use solar cells. Without considering these possible scenarios, the author can not justifiably conclude that sales of oil will be enhanced.

Second, the author relies on the fact that clime forecasters predict the cold weather will continue for more years. In fact, people may need more oil in the some years, while the author provides no assurance that this condition will increased for ever. In short, since the argument relies on the limited information, I can not take the author’s final conclusion seriously.

In third place, a serious of problem with this argument rises from the scant statistical information. The author gives not any information about the economic conditions of Consolidated Industries. Indeed, it is possible the cost of production in this factory is high, because of the use old technology. In this way, investing in Consolidated Industries is not profitable. In addition, the author must provide statistical information that this factory can to produce more oil according to increasing the demand.

In sum, this argument is flawed logically and therefore unconvincing it stands. To strengthen the recommendation, the author must provide more statistical information the number of population in this city. In order t evaluate better author’s conclusion, we would know more about feature of these house, and the rate of their fuel consumption.

Votes
Average: 5 (1 vote)
Essay Categories

Comments

Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 5, column 158, Rule ID: THE_SOME_DAY[1]
Message: Did you mean 'same'?
Suggestion: same
...n fact, people may need more oil in the some years, while the author provides no ass...
^^^^
Line 5, column 234, Rule ID: DID_BASEFORM[1]
Message: The verb 'will' requires the base form of the verb: 'increase'
Suggestion: increase
...s no assurance that this condition will increased for ever. In short, since the argument ...
^^^^^^^^^
Line 7, column 1, Rule ID: ENGLISH_WORD_REPEAT_BEGINNING_RULE
Message: Three successive sentences begin with the same word. Reword the sentence or use a thesaurus to find a synonym.
...r's final conclusion seriously. In third place, a serious of problem with ...
^^
Line 9, column 1, Rule ID: ENGLISH_WORD_REPEAT_BEGINNING_RULE
Message: Three successive sentences begin with the same word. Reword the sentence or use a thesaurus to find a synonym.
... according to increasing the demand. In sum, this argument is flawed logically ...
^^

Discourse Markers used:
['however', 'if', 'may', 'moreover', 'second', 'so', 'then', 'therefore', 'third', 'while', 'in addition', 'in fact', 'in short', 'such as']

Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments

Performance in Part of Speech:
Nouns: 0.276283618582 0.25644967241 108% => OK
Verbs: 0.136919315403 0.15541462614 88% => OK
Adjectives: 0.0855745721271 0.0836205057962 102% => OK
Adverbs: 0.0317848410758 0.0520304965353 61% => OK
Pronouns: 0.0195599022005 0.0272364105082 72% => OK
Prepositions: 0.136919315403 0.125424944231 109% => OK
Participles: 0.039119804401 0.0416121511921 94% => OK
Conjunctions: 2.95767709636 2.79052419416 106% => OK
Infinitives: 0.0171149144254 0.026700313972 64% => OK
Particles: 0.0 0.001811407834 0% => OK
Determiners: 0.124694376528 0.113004496875 110% => OK
Modal_auxiliary: 0.0342298288509 0.0255425247493 134% => OK
WH_determiners: 0.00733496332518 0.0127820249294 57% => OK

Vocabulary words and sentences:
No of characters: 2219.0 2731.13054187 81% => OK
No of words: 356.0 446.07635468 80% => More content wanted.
Chars per words: 6.23314606742 6.12365571057 102% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.34372677135 4.57801047555 95% => OK
words length more than 5 chars: 0.373595505618 0.378187486979 99% => OK
words length more than 6 chars: 0.269662921348 0.287650121315 94% => OK
words length more than 7 chars: 0.205056179775 0.208842608468 98% => OK
words length more than 8 chars: 0.162921348315 0.135150697306 121% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.95767709636 2.79052419416 106% => OK
Unique words: 173.0 207.018472906 84% => More unique words wanted.
Unique words percentage: 0.48595505618 0.469332199767 104% => OK
Word variations: 50.7091104236 52.1807786196 97% => OK
How many sentences: 20.0 20.039408867 100% => OK
Sentence length: 17.8 23.2022227129 77% => OK
Sentence length SD: 26.8875435843 57.7814097925 47% => OK
Chars per sentence: 110.95 141.986410481 78% => OK
Words per sentence: 17.8 23.2022227129 77% => OK
Discourse Markers: 0.7 0.724660767414 97% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.14285714286 97% => OK
Language errors: 4.0 3.58251231527 112% => OK
Readability: 44.7662921348 51.9672348444 86% => OK
Elegance: 2.4025974026 1.8405768891 131% => OK

Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.307728352025 0.441005458295 70% => OK
Sentence sentence coherence: 0.121091965177 0.135418324435 89% => OK
Sentence sentence coherence SD: 0.0868618238512 0.0829849096947 105% => OK
Sentence paragraph coherence: 0.574327032123 0.58762219726 98% => OK
Sentence paragraph coherence SD: 0.105333558095 0.147661913831 71% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.13969563497 0.193483328276 72% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0489387523734 0.0970749176394 50% => OK
Paragraph paragraph coherence: 0.470182046493 0.42659136922 110% => OK
Paragraph paragraph coherence SD: 0.03763865292 0.0774707102158 49% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.228302858354 0.312017818177 73% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0407513553625 0.0698173142475 58% => The ideas may be duplicated in paragraphs.

Task Achievement:
Sentences with positive sentiment : 6.0 8.33743842365 72% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 7.0 6.87684729064 102% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 7.0 4.82512315271 145% => OK
Positive topic words: 6.0 6.46551724138 93% => OK
Negative topic words: 6.0 5.36822660099 112% => OK
Neutral topic words: 6.0 2.82389162562 212% => OK
Total topic words: 18.0 14.657635468 123% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?

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Rates: 50.0 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 3.0 Out of 6 -- The score is based on the average performance of 20,000 argument essays. This e-grader is not smart enough to check on arguments.
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Note: This is not the final score. The e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.