The following appeared in a recommendation from the President of the Amburg Chamber of Commerce.
"Last October, the city of Belleville installed high-intensity lighting in its central business district, and vandalism there declined almost immediately. The city of Amburg, on the other hand, recently instituted police patrols on bicycles in its business district. However, the rate of vandalism here remains constant. Since high-intensity lighting is clearly the most effective way to combat crime, we recommend using the money that is currently being spent on bicycle patrols to install such lighting throughout Amburg. If we install this high-intensity lighting, we will significantly reduce crime rates in Amburg."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
The President of the Amburg Chamber of Commerce recommends to install a high-intensity lighting in the Amburg replacing its police patrols. It is based on the assumption that the crime rates will dwindle rapidly once the high-intensity lighting is installed in Amburg. The conclusion is based on the premise that the high-intensity lighting was very much effective in the City of Belville and it will do so in the city of Amburg. However, lots of questions need to be answered before one can comfortably arrive at the effectiveness of the recommendation. The recommendation relies on unstated assu...
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