The following appeared in a memorandum from the planning department of an electric power company.
"Several recent surveys indicate that home owners are increasingly eager to conserve energy. At the same time, manufacturers are now marketing many home appliances, such as refrigerators and air conditioners, that are almost twice as energy efficient as those sold a decade ago. Also, new technologies for better home insulation and passive solar heating are readily available to reduce the energy needed for home heating. Therefore, the total demand for electricity in our area will not increase — and may decline slightly. Since our three electric generating plants in operation for the past twenty years have always met our needs, construction of new generating plants will not be necessary."
Write a response in which you examine the stated and/or unstated assumptions of the argument. Be sure to explain how the argument depends on these assumptions and what the implications are for the argument if the assumptions prove unwarranted.
The department of electric power company adduces that there is no requirement for the implementation of a novel generating plant in their area; this conclusion is raised from the series of assumptions which are in the first glance seem appealing. However, they cannot be accepted as they stand, since they rely on the list of shaky and skeptical clues which require further explanation to be verified.
The first surmise is the generalization of recent studies, which depict the incline of homeowners for reduction of energy use, to the considered neighborhood. This surmise can be valid in the case, which the survey is specifically concentrated on this area. There is a possibility these researches are conducted in the well-developed countries where the denizens are more eager about energy consumption; on the other hand, this trend is not a privilege in the considered area. Furthermore, even with the consideration that this region is considered in these studies, there is no evidence that this willing is equal to less consumption. Maybe, citizens of the region are wishing to reduce their energy consumption; however, there is no well-rearing information about the methods of reduction. Consequently, people implement the fallacious methods of conservation which cause extra energy use. Therefore, these studies merely cannot represent that habitats in this region consume less electrical energy.
The second hypothesis is the production of energy efficient home appliances with the advanced-technology in insulation and passively harvesting of solar energy will reduce the reliance of the people in this area to the electrical energy. This surmise is a dubious one since the production of the efficient appliance, well-insulation method for the dwellings or energy harvesting from the sun are not the warranty of their usage in homes of that specific area. There is the possibility that these new technics are expensive and beyond that region’s dweller annually budget; therefore, they prohibit to use these technologies to reduce their reliance on electrical energy.
Finally, the company assumes that since during the past twenty years the electrical plants have fulfilled the demands of this region, there is no requirement for the addition of plant. This surmise is a skeptical one since the probability of the alteration of electricity demand in the future is underestimated. There is the possibility of the increment of dwellers in this region for the sake of migration factor, or the novel electricity depended appliances are used by the dwellers which leads to the further requirement. On the other hand, since there is no data about the generation compacity of the generator plants, this thought that there will not the requirement for the extra energy is invalid.
To wrap it up, all the aforementioned assumptions explicitly illustrate that this memo and its result are dubious substance and require further clues about the studies and their possibility of generalization in this area, the development of the technology of insulation and appliances are a guarantee of their implementation in this region. In addition, the three generator plants can fulfill the future demands regardless of the increment of the demands for the sake of population growth or novel demands on the electrical appliances
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Comments
Essay evaluation report
argument 1 -- not OK. maybe people buy more home appliances.
argument 2 -- OK
argument 3 -- OK
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Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 3.5 out of 6
Category: Satisfactory Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 0 2
No. of Sentences: 18 15
No. of Words: 521 350
No. of Characters: 2751 1500
No. of Different Words: 211 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.778 4.7
Average Word Length: 5.28 4.6
Word Length SD: 3.083 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 198 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 152 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 116 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 96 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 28.944 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 9.46 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.722 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.343 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.564 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.082 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 5 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 2, column 667, Rule ID: PROGRESSIVE_VERBS[1]
Message: This verb is normally not used in the progressive form. Try a simple form instead.
...sumption. Maybe, citizens of the region are wishing to reduce their energy consumption; how...
^^^^^^^^^^^
Line 5, column 534, Rule ID: WHITESPACE_RULE
Message: Possible typo: you repeated a whitespace
Suggestion:
...vel demands on the electrical appliances
^^^^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
consequently, finally, first, furthermore, however, if, may, second, so, therefore, well, in addition, on the other hand
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 31.0 19.6327345309 158% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 6.0 12.9520958084 46% => OK
Conjunction : 10.0 11.1786427146 89% => OK
Relative clauses : 17.0 13.6137724551 125% => OK
Pronoun: 43.0 28.8173652695 149% => Less pronouns wanted
Preposition: 79.0 55.5748502994 142% => OK
Nominalization: 38.0 16.3942115768 232% => Less nominalizations (nouns with a suffix like: tion ment ence ance) wanted.
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2807.0 2260.96107784 124% => OK
No of words: 521.0 441.139720559 118% => OK
Chars per words: 5.3877159309 5.12650576532 105% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.77759609229 4.56307096286 105% => OK
Word Length SD: 3.15491329828 2.78398813304 113% => OK
Unique words: 218.0 204.123752495 107% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.418426103647 0.468620217663 89% => More unique words wanted or less content wanted.
syllable_count: 910.8 705.55239521 129% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.7 1.59920159681 106% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 9.0 4.96107784431 181% => OK
Article: 6.0 8.76447105788 68% => OK
Subordination: 2.0 2.70958083832 74% => OK
Conjunction: 1.0 1.67365269461 60% => OK
Preposition: 7.0 4.22255489022 166% => OK
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 18.0 19.7664670659 91% => OK
Sentence length: 28.0 22.8473053892 123% => The Avg. Sentence Length is relatively long.
Sentence length SD: 58.7189371519 57.8364921388 102% => OK
Chars per sentence: 155.944444444 119.503703932 130% => OK
Words per sentence: 28.9444444444 23.324526521 124% => OK
Discourse Markers: 6.66666666667 5.70786347227 117% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.15768463074 97% => OK
Language errors: 2.0 5.25449101796 38% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 13.0 8.20758483034 158% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 4.0 6.88822355289 58% => More negative sentences wanted.
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 1.0 4.67664670659 21% => More facts, knowledge or examples wanted.
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.068863403269 0.218282227539 32% => The similarity between the topic and the content is low.
Sentence topic coherence: 0.0274423236825 0.0743258471296 37% => Sentence topic similarity is low.
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0248912249619 0.0701772020484 35% => Sentences are similar to each other.
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.0437449615251 0.128457276422 34% => Maybe some paragraphs are off the topic.
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0262158023201 0.0628817314937 42% => Paragraphs are similar to each other. Some content may get duplicated or it is not exactly right on the topic.
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 18.4 14.3799401198 128% => OK
flesch_reading_ease: 34.6 48.3550499002 72% => OK
smog_index: 11.2 7.1628742515 156% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 15.4 12.197005988 126% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 14.57 12.5979740519 116% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 9.12 8.32208582834 110% => OK
difficult_words: 135.0 98.500998004 137% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 14.0 12.3882235529 113% => OK
gunning_fog: 13.2 11.1389221557 119% => OK
text_standard: 15.0 11.9071856287 126% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
It is not exactly right on the topic in the view of e-grader. Maybe there is a wrong essay topic.
Rates: 16.67 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 1.0 Out of 6
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.