"The population on Balmer Island increases to 100,000 during the summer months. To reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians, the town council of Balmer Island plans to limit the number of mopeds rented by each of the island's six moped rental companies from 50 per day to 30 per day during the summer season. Last year, the neighboring island of Torseau enforced similar limits on moped rentals and saw a 50 percent reduction in moped accidents. We predict that putting these limits into effect on Balmer Island will result in the same reduction in moped accidents."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the prediction and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the prediction.
In the letter to the editor of the Balmer Island Gazette, the author of the letter suggests limiting the number of mopeds which a company can rent out as a way to reduce the number accidents with pedestrians. This is based on the fact that such a restriction led to reduced accidents in the neighboring Seaville island. However, while such a limit might be effective, the argument rests on several unfounded assumptions that if not addressed significantly weaken its persuasiveness. Thus, the following three questions needs to be addressed to decide whether the recommendation will have the predicted result.
First, are the situations in Balmer island similar to those of Seaville? It could be that Seaville has narrow, ill-maintained roads without footpaths which drastically increases the risk of moped-pedestrian accidents. Balmer island, on the other hand, might have wide roads with footpaths. It is also possible that Seaville has a good traffic control system which Balmer lacks. If either of the two possibilities are true, the parallels drawn between the two islands might not hold and the author's argument might not reduce accidents.
Next, are there restrictions in place to limit the number of moped rental companies? If not, new companies will start opening up shop to meet the demand gap created by per-company limit. If this happens, the total number of mopeds on the roads of Balmer island might remain the same, or even increase, leading to a greater risk of accidents. Tourists might also start using other more dangerous forms of transport in absence of sufficent mopeds. Again, if either holds, the number of accidents might not decrease.
Finally, do majority of the accidents in Balmer island happen during the summer season? It is possible that it rains heavily during the monsoon and the wet roads and low visibility are the leading causes for accidents. If this is true, the reduction of mopeds rented during summmer is unlikely to have a large effect to the number of accidents taking place.
In conclusion, the recommendation as it stands now rests on several assumptions which need to addressed in order to fully evaluate the effect it will have. Answering the above questions will give authorities a clearer picture of the situation and help them choose measures to reduce accidents.
| Post date | Users | Rates | Link to Content |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-03 | KalyaniHarbola | 63 | view |
| 2022-07-09 | tom121 | 68 | view |
| 2021-12-08 | khushishah | 68 | view |
| 2021-11-14 | bislam | 58 | view |
| 2021-10-18 | norbita12 | 68 | view |
- Leaders are created by the demands that are placed on them 50
- The population on Balmer Island increases to 100 000 during the summer months To reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians the town council of Balmer Island plans to limit the number of mopeds rented by each of the island s six moped 68
Comments
e-rater score report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 4.0 out of 6
Category: Good Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 6 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 6 2
No. of Sentences: 19 15
No. of Words: 379 350
No. of Characters: 1895 1500
No. of Different Words: 189 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.412 4.7
Average Word Length: 5 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.747 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 146 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 94 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 68 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 50 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 19.947 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 6.621 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.684 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.317 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.543 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.063 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 5 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 3, column 491, Rule ID: POSSESIVE_APOSTROPHE[1]
Message: Possible typo: apostrophe is missing. Did you mean 'authors'' or 'author's'?
Suggestion: authors'; author's
... the two islands might not hold and the authors argument might not reduce accidents. ...
^^^^^^^
Line 7, column 70, Rule ID: THE_FALL_SEASON[1]
Message: Use simply 'summer'.
Suggestion: summer
...ccidents in Balmer island happen during the summer season? It is possible that it rains heavily d...
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
also, finally, first, however, if, so, thus, while, in conclusion, on the other hand
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 12.0 19.6327345309 61% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 14.0 12.9520958084 108% => OK
Conjunction : 5.0 11.1786427146 45% => More conjunction wanted.
Relative clauses : 9.0 13.6137724551 66% => More relative clauses wanted.
Pronoun: 17.0 28.8173652695 59% => OK
Preposition: 55.0 55.5748502994 99% => OK
Nominalization: 8.0 16.3942115768 49% => More nominalizations (nouns with a suffix like: tion ment ence ance) wanted.
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 1950.0 2260.96107784 86% => OK
No of words: 379.0 441.139720559 86% => More content wanted.
Chars per words: 5.14511873351 5.12650576532 100% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.41224685777 4.56307096286 97% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.82347297455 2.78398813304 101% => OK
Unique words: 195.0 204.123752495 96% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.514511873351 0.468620217663 110% => OK
syllable_count: 592.2 705.55239521 84% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.6 1.59920159681 100% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 4.0 4.96107784431 81% => OK
Article: 8.0 8.76447105788 91% => OK
Subordination: 6.0 2.70958083832 221% => Less adverbial clause wanted.
Conjunction: 1.0 1.67365269461 60% => OK
Preposition: 3.0 4.22255489022 71% => OK
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 19.0 19.7664670659 96% => OK
Sentence length: 19.0 22.8473053892 83% => The Avg. Sentence Length is relatively short.
Sentence length SD: 37.1628146437 57.8364921388 64% => OK
Chars per sentence: 102.631578947 119.503703932 86% => OK
Words per sentence: 19.9473684211 23.324526521 86% => OK
Discourse Markers: 4.42105263158 5.70786347227 77% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.15768463074 97% => OK
Language errors: 2.0 5.25449101796 38% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 9.0 8.20758483034 110% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 7.0 6.88822355289 102% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 3.0 4.67664670659 64% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.342786855992 0.218282227539 157% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.107454498558 0.0743258471296 145% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0958255908059 0.0701772020484 137% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.188910342718 0.128457276422 147% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0900017917879 0.0628817314937 143% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 12.8 14.3799401198 89% => Automated_readability_index is low.
flesch_reading_ease: 52.19 48.3550499002 108% => OK
smog_index: 3.1 7.1628742515 43% => Smog_index is low.
flesch_kincaid_grade: 10.7 12.197005988 88% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 12.59 12.5979740519 100% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 8.37 8.32208582834 101% => OK
difficult_words: 91.0 98.500998004 92% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 13.5 12.3882235529 109% => OK
gunning_fog: 9.6 11.1389221557 86% => OK
text_standard: 13.0 11.9071856287 109% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 75.0 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 4.5 Out of 6
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.