The following appeared in a memo to the board of directors of a company that specializes in the delivery of heating oil.
"Most homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating. Last heating season, that region experienced 90 days with below-normal temperatures, and climate forecasters predict that this weather pattern will continue for several more years. Furthermore, many new homes are being built in the region in response to recent population growth. Because of these trends, we can safely predict that this region will experience an increased demand for heating oil during the next five years."
Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.
The letter indicates that the demand for heating oil will be greater and more stable during the next five years . The argument is based upon several facts which are not so persuasive , because , the passage seriously lacks the strong connection between the different parts of the passage . Hence , in order to be sure about the prediction , this passage must contain much more information , which will help to conclude properly . Otherwise , the mentioned company ventures to have financial problems because of an unfulfilled forecast .
First of all , the author of the text says about the weather forecast , it is undoubtable fact that weather forecasts are one of the most upredictible things in the world . So , the same logic is applicable to this situation . To base financial prediction upon wheather weather forecast is quite risky business. Moreover , the passage states about the only last year , and there is no any information on which weather data the mentioned forecasters rely upon . Probably , these forecasters are not so competient in this business , and in order to be sure about their forecasts , it will be much more helpful and useful to look at their previous forecasts and conclude whether the forecasts came true or not . Perphaps , it will add more assurance to this situation , but still , the prediction about the future , espcially about the weather , it is always rather risky.
Even if the forecasts came true , and really , there was a lot of scientific data that the very cold period will come , it is not enough arguments to conclude that demand for heating oil will grow . The passage states that in the respond to the recent population growth many new homes were build . However , it has no word about the heating system in these homes . Perhaps , they will be heated with the help of a new heating system , and there will not be any need to buy heating oil . Especially , considering the situation with eco trend in the world . It is easy to propose that the new homes will be heated by innovating system of heating, which does not require oil . Hence , the information about new houses will be critical to conclude about the financial forecast .
Moreover , the passage lacks the information whether these new houses are bougth or not . It could be easily true that these houses are not occupied at all , and this argument adds more diffidence than assurance .
To sum up , the argument is quite shaky and unpersuasive , it seriously lacks additional evidence to conclude . In order to be sure about the forecast , the author should provide much more certain information about all aspect of the mentioned situation . Otherwise , it ventures to have unfulfilled prediction.
| Post date | Users | Rates | Link to Content |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-07-07 | Primace | 77 | view |
| 2019-04-20 | Ethen | 74 | view |
| 2018-09-21 | saha.biswajit.1992@gmail.com | 35 | view |
| 2018-07-23 | heogogre | 84 | view |
| 2018-06-24 | valay_aura | 55 | view |
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- The following appeared in a memo to the board of directors of a company that specializes in the delivery of heating oil."Most homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for he 54
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 1, column 112, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Don't put a space before the full stop
Suggestion: .
...d more stable during the next five years . The argument is based upon several fact...
^^
Line 1, column 183, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...everal facts which are not so persuasive , because , the passage seriously lacks t...
^^
Line 1, column 193, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...ts which are not so persuasive , because , the passage seriously lacks the strong ...
^^
Line 1, column 288, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Don't put a space before the full stop
Suggestion: .
...tween the different parts of the passage . Hence , in order to be sure about the p...
^^
Line 1, column 296, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...e different parts of the passage . Hence , in order to be sure about the predictio...
^^
Line 1, column 339, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...in order to be sure about the prediction , this passage must contain much more inf...
^^
Line 1, column 389, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...ssage must contain much more information , which will help to conclude properly . ...
^^
Line 1, column 428, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Don't put a space before the full stop
Suggestion: .
...n , which will help to conclude properly . Otherwise , the mentioned company ventu...
^^
Line 1, column 440, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...ll help to conclude properly . Otherwise , the mentioned company ventures to have ...
^^
Line 1, column 535, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Don't put a space before the full stop
Suggestion: .
...blems because of an unfulfilled forecast . First of all , the author of the tex...
^^
Line 3, column 13, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...n unfulfilled forecast . First of all , the author of the text says about the w...
^^
Line 3, column 70, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...the text says about the weather forecast , it is undoubtable fact that weather for...
^^
Line 3, column 171, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Don't put a space before the full stop
Suggestion: .
...he most upredictible things in the world . So , the same logic is applicable to th...
^^
Line 3, column 176, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...st upredictible things in the world . So , the same logic is applicable to this si...
^^
Line 3, column 225, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Don't put a space before the full stop
Suggestion: .
...me logic is applicable to this situation . To base financial prediction upon wheat...
^^
Line 3, column 321, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...recast is quite risky business. Moreover , the passage states about the only last ...
^^
Line 3, column 367, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
... passage states about the only last year , and there is no any information on whic...
^^
Line 3, column 383, Rule ID: NOW[2]
Message: Did you mean 'now' (=at this moment) instead of 'no' (negation)?
Suggestion: now
...about the only last year , and there is no any information on which weather data t...
^^
Line 3, column 459, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Don't put a space before the full stop
Suggestion: .
...data the mentioned forecasters rely upon . Probably , these forecasters are not so...
^^
Line 3, column 470, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...ntioned forecasters rely upon . Probably , these forecasters are not so competient...
^^
Line 3, column 529, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...s are not so competient in this business , and in order to be sure about their for...
^^
Line 3, column 577, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...n order to be sure about their forecasts , it will be much more helpful and useful...
^^
Line 3, column 707, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Don't put a space before the full stop
Suggestion: .
...e whether the forecasts came true or not . Perphaps , it will add more assurance t...
^^
Line 3, column 718, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...he forecasts came true or not . Perphaps , it will add more assurance to this situ...
^^
Line 3, column 765, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...ill add more assurance to this situation , but still , the prediction about the fu...
^^
Line 3, column 777, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
... assurance to this situation , but still , the prediction about the future , espci...
^^
Line 3, column 811, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
... still , the prediction about the future , espcially about the weather , it is alw...
^^
Line 3, column 841, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...the future , espcially about the weather , it is always rather risky. Even if ...
^^
Line 5, column 33, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...sky. Even if the forecasts came true , and really , there was a lot of scienti...
^^
Line 5, column 46, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
... if the forecasts came true , and really , there was a lot of scientific data that...
^^
Line 5, column 119, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...data that the very cold period will come , it is not enough arguments to conclude ...
^^
Line 5, column 198, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Don't put a space before the full stop
Suggestion: .
...de that demand for heating oil will grow . The passage states that in the respond ...
^^
Line 5, column 228, Rule ID: A_INFINITVE[1]
Message: Probably a wrong construction: a/the + infinitive
... will grow . The passage states that in the respond to the recent population growth many ne...
^^^^^^^^^^^
Line 5, column 297, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Don't put a space before the full stop
Suggestion: .
...ulation growth many new homes were build . However , it has no word about the heat...
^^
Line 5, column 307, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...owth many new homes were build . However , it has no word about the heating system...
^^
Line 5, column 364, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Don't put a space before the full stop
Suggestion: .
... about the heating system in these homes . Perhaps , they will be heated with the ...
^^
Line 5, column 374, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
... heating system in these homes . Perhaps , they will be heated with the help of a ...
^^
Line 5, column 434, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...ed with the help of a new heating system , and there will not be any need to buy h...
^^
Line 5, column 471, Rule ID: BUY_VBG[1]
Message: Did you mean 'by'?
Suggestion: by
...tem , and there will not be any need to buy heating oil . Especially , considering ...
^^^
Line 5, column 486, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Don't put a space before the full stop
Suggestion: .
... will not be any need to buy heating oil . Especially , considering the situation ...
^^
Line 5, column 499, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...any need to buy heating oil . Especially , considering the situation with eco tren...
^^
Line 5, column 555, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Don't put a space before the full stop
Suggestion: .
...he situation with eco trend in the world . It is easy to propose that the new home...
^^
Line 5, column 673, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Don't put a space before the full stop
Suggestion: .
...m of heating, which does not require oil . Hence , the information about new house...
^^
Line 5, column 681, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...ting, which does not require oil . Hence , the information about new houses will b...
^^
Line 5, column 774, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Don't put a space before the full stop
Suggestion: .
...to conclude about the financial forecast . Moreover , the passage lacks the in...
^^
Line 7, column 10, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...ut the financial forecast . Moreover , the passage lacks the information wheth...
^^
Line 7, column 89, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Don't put a space before the full stop
Suggestion: .
...ether these new houses are bougth or not . It could be easily true that these hous...
^^
Line 7, column 157, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...hat these houses are not occupied at all , and this argument adds more diffidence ...
^^
Line 7, column 213, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Don't put a space before the full stop
Suggestion: .
...ment adds more diffidence than assurance . To sum up , the argument is quite ...
^^
Line 9, column 11, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...ffidence than assurance . To sum up , the argument is quite shaky and unpersu...
^^
Line 9, column 58, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...argument is quite shaky and unpersuasive , it seriously lacks additional evidence ...
^^
Line 9, column 111, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Don't put a space before the full stop
Suggestion: .
...ly lacks additional evidence to conclude . In order to be sure about the forecast ...
^^
Line 9, column 152, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
.... In order to be sure about the forecast , the author should provide much more cer...
^^
Line 9, column 254, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Don't put a space before the full stop
Suggestion: .
...ut all aspect of the mentioned situation . Otherwise , it ventures to have unfulfi...
^^
Line 9, column 266, Rule ID: COMMA_PARENTHESIS_WHITESPACE
Message: Put a space after the comma, but not before the comma
Suggestion: ,
...t of the mentioned situation . Otherwise , it ventures to have unfulfilled predict...
^^
Discourse Markers used:
['but', 'first', 'hence', 'however', 'if', 'look', 'moreover', 'really', 'so', 'still', 'first of all', 'to sum up']
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance in Part of Speech:
Nouns: 0.202404809619 0.25644967241 79% => OK
Verbs: 0.13627254509 0.15541462614 88% => OK
Adjectives: 0.110220440882 0.0836205057962 132% => OK
Adverbs: 0.0841683366733 0.0520304965353 162% => OK
Pronouns: 0.0260521042084 0.0272364105082 96% => OK
Prepositions: 0.10621242485 0.125424944231 85% => OK
Participles: 0.0200400801603 0.0416121511921 48% => Some participles wanted.
Conjunctions: 2.67244247473 2.79052419416 96% => OK
Infinitives: 0.0340681362725 0.026700313972 128% => OK
Particles: 0.00200400801603 0.001811407834 111% => OK
Determiners: 0.120240480962 0.113004496875 106% => OK
Modal_auxiliary: 0.0260521042084 0.0255425247493 102% => OK
WH_determiners: 0.00801603206413 0.0127820249294 63% => OK
Vocabulary words and sentences:
No of characters: 2724.0 2731.13054187 100% => OK
No of words: 495.0 446.07635468 111% => OK
Chars per words: 5.50303030303 6.12365571057 90% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.71684168287 4.57801047555 103% => OK
words length more than 5 chars: 0.29696969697 0.378187486979 79% => OK
words length more than 6 chars: 0.230303030303 0.287650121315 80% => OK
words length more than 7 chars: 0.163636363636 0.208842608468 78% => OK
words length more than 8 chars: 0.107070707071 0.135150697306 79% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.67244247473 2.79052419416 96% => OK
Unique words: 190.0 207.018472906 92% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.383838383838 0.469332199767 82% => More unique words wanted or less content wanted.
Word variations: 43.23194492 52.1807786196 83% => OK
How many sentences: 22.0 20.039408867 110% => OK
Sentence length: 22.5 23.2022227129 97% => OK
Sentence length SD: 47.0176905339 57.7814097925 81% => OK
Chars per sentence: 123.818181818 141.986410481 87% => OK
Words per sentence: 22.5 23.2022227129 97% => OK
Discourse Markers: 0.545454545455 0.724660767414 75% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.14285714286 97% => OK
Language errors: 55.0 3.58251231527 1535% => Correct essay format wanted or double check grammar & spelling issues after essay writing.
Readability: 45.5303030303 51.9672348444 88% => OK
Elegance: 1.33333333333 1.8405768891 72% => OK
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.41870948922 0.441005458295 95% => OK
Sentence sentence coherence: 0.113178605753 0.135418324435 84% => OK
Sentence sentence coherence SD: 0.0552624459326 0.0829849096947 67% => OK
Sentence paragraph coherence: 0.554436008115 0.58762219726 94% => OK
Sentence paragraph coherence SD: 0.115830026236 0.147661913831 78% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.179719783043 0.193483328276 93% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.090900706498 0.0970749176394 94% => OK
Paragraph paragraph coherence: 0.38290796394 0.42659136922 90% => OK
Paragraph paragraph coherence SD: 0.166601080018 0.0774707102158 215% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.289359306847 0.312017818177 93% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.100986720596 0.0698173142475 145% => OK
Task Achievement:
Sentences with positive sentiment : 10.0 8.33743842365 120% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 8.0 6.87684729064 116% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 4.0 4.82512315271 83% => OK
Positive topic words: 9.0 6.46551724138 139% => OK
Negative topic words: 3.0 5.36822660099 56% => OK
Neutral topic words: 2.0 2.82389162562 71% => OK
Total topic words: 14.0 14.657635468 96% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
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Rates: 50.0 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 3.0 Out of 6 -- The score is based on the average performance of 20,000 argument essays. This e-grader is not smart enough to check on arguments.
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.