Arctic deer live on islands in Canada's arctic regions. They search for food by moving over ice from island to island during the course of the year. Their habitat is limited to areas warm enough to sustain the plants on which they feed and cold enough, at least some of the year, for the ice to cover the sea separating the islands, allowing the deer to travel over it. Unfortunately, according to reports from local hunters, the deer populations are declining. Since these reports coincide with recent global warming trends that have caused the sea ice to melt, we can conclude that the purported decline in deer populations is the result of the deer's being unable to follow their age-old migration patterns across the frozen sea.
Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument
Albeit the population of Arctic deer live on islands in Canada's arctic regions might have been declined, the argument is rife with flaws and does not display a sound cause and effect relationships between assumptions.
Relying on reports from local hunters without taking statistical quantities into consideration is not reasonable because it is ambiguous what percent of the deer has been disappeared, the author does not make any reference to the statistics. Thus, this claim is ruled out since insufficient evidence is provided. To provide a reliable and valid report, further scrutiny and investigation may be carried out by experts to scientifically demonstrate the status of deer in the region.
While recent warns from the environmentalists and researchers regarding the deteriorating impact of global warming have been disseminated globally and subsequently one of the major causes of the decline in deer populations is likely to be the melt of ices; however, there is lack of adequate support to conclude that there is a significant association between the global warming and the decrease of the deer numbers. The argument fails to provide a reliable source to prove to what degree the Arctic ices have been melted, whether the melted icebergs are exactly those which are the connective paths of islands that deer herds move on to comb food. Unless this assumption are ruled out, this prediction is unlikely to illustrate the direct link between the amount of melt occurred in Arctic and deer’s population reduction.
In conclusion, as there is no reliable and valid statistics concerning the real number of deer prior and after the release of the report and also lack of the sufficient information and data on the status of the deer before and after the impacts of the global warming and their subsequent consequences, we cannot decisively judge that there are concrete casual relationships between assumptions provides by this argument. As a result, any change in the age-old migration patterns of deer across the frozen sea might be the outcome of many other variables.
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flaws:
You may put one more reason to argue 'the result of the deer's being unable to follow their age-old migration patterns across the frozen sea'.
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