The council of Maple County, concerned about the county's becoming overdeveloped, is debating a proposed measure that would prevent the development of existing farmland in the county. But the council is also concerned that such a restriction, by limiting the supply of new housing, could lead to significant increases in the price of housing in the county. Proponents of the measure note that Chestnut County established a similar measure ten years ago, and its housing prices have increased only modestly since. However, opponents of the measure note that Pine County adopted restrictions on the development of new residential housing fifteen years ago, and its housing prices have since more than doubled. The council currently predicts that the proposed measure, if passed, will result in a significant increase in housing prices in Maple County.
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the prediction and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the prediction.
The council of Maple County has made an unfounded prediction that the measure proposed to restrict the development of farmland will cause a remarkable increase in housing prices. The council has made an untenable assumption that the restriction will surely lead to the increase of price of housing in the county. But it is still replete with a myriad of questions which thereby could undermine the persuasiveness of the argument.
Firstly, as mentioned above, there might be other factors that might affect the houses’ prices other than the restriction. For example, the locals recently all have learned great skills in some colleges so that they can find better jobs with better awards, hence nearly all the people who need to buy a house have more money on their hand. So that they can afford more during the consumption of the houses. In this way, the houses’ prices might also increase. It will be more convincible if the council has clarified all those factors. It is possible that the restriction has nearly no effect on the housing market when considering those kinds of factors.
Secondly, it lacks more concrete evidence to support the claim because of the weak connections the council has made on the localized circumstance with the cases on other two countries: the Chestnut County and the Pine County. Although it has counted mostly on the Pine County’s case that the prices will increase, it has given rarely reasons to explain why to take the case. It seems that the council is just to consider the worst consequences of the houses’ prices increasing but has circumvented the risks to bring more benefit to the people living in Maple County. It might not be so serious but people need more explanations.
Thirdly, as for the circumstances of the two other counties, the council has given really qualified information which can cause more questions.
On the one hand, the Chestnut County’s case might also contribute to the predilection. It is likely that the Chestnut County’s developing level is similar with the Maple County so that it is useful as a reference by Maple County. What’s more, it adopted the restriction five years nearer than the Pine County so that the cases in the Chestnut County might be really countable.
On the other hand, the Pine County might also be a weaker developing city so that its house prices keep in a low level. In that case, even the doubled prices caused by the restriction or something might also be uncountable because the prices are still low.
In conclusion, the argument is unconvincing as it stands. To strengthen it, the council must demonstrate the further studies on the other counties to illustrate the references in a better way.
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Comments
e-rater score report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 4.5 out of 6
Category: Good Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 2 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 1 2
No. of Sentences: 21 15
No. of Words: 456 350
No. of Characters: 2191 1500
No. of Different Words: 199 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.621 4.7
Average Word Length: 4.805 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.602 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 156 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 104 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 71 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 45 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 21.714 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 8.413 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.762 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.343 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.343 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.111 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 1 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 2, column 340, Rule ID: SENTENCE_FRAGMENT[3]
Message: “So that” at the beginning of a sentence requires a 2nd clause. Maybe a comma, question or exclamation mark is missing, or the sentence is incomplete and should be joined with the following sentence.
... a house have more money on their hand. So that they can afford more during the consump...
^^^^^^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
also, but, first, firstly, hence, if, really, second, secondly, so, still, then, third, thirdly, as for, for example, in conclusion, on the other hand
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 14.0 19.6327345309 71% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 19.0 12.9520958084 147% => OK
Conjunction : 5.0 11.1786427146 45% => More conjunction wanted.
Relative clauses : 17.0 13.6137724551 125% => OK
Pronoun: 33.0 28.8173652695 115% => OK
Preposition: 50.0 55.5748502994 90% => OK
Nominalization: 16.0 16.3942115768 98% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2259.0 2260.96107784 100% => OK
No of words: 456.0 441.139720559 103% => OK
Chars per words: 4.95394736842 5.12650576532 97% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.62105577807 4.56307096286 101% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.71056801052 2.78398813304 97% => OK
Unique words: 208.0 204.123752495 102% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.456140350877 0.468620217663 97% => OK
syllable_count: 686.7 705.55239521 97% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.5 1.59920159681 94% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 8.0 4.96107784431 161% => OK
Article: 9.0 8.76447105788 103% => OK
Subordination: 4.0 2.70958083832 148% => OK
Conjunction: 1.0 1.67365269461 60% => OK
Preposition: 6.0 4.22255489022 142% => OK
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 21.0 19.7664670659 106% => OK
Sentence length: 21.0 22.8473053892 92% => OK
Sentence length SD: 48.3425044079 57.8364921388 84% => OK
Chars per sentence: 107.571428571 119.503703932 90% => OK
Words per sentence: 21.7142857143 23.324526521 93% => OK
Discourse Markers: 7.14285714286 5.70786347227 125% => OK
Paragraphs: 7.0 5.15768463074 136% => Less paragraphs wanted.
Language errors: 1.0 5.25449101796 19% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 9.0 8.20758483034 110% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 9.0 6.88822355289 131% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 3.0 4.67664670659 64% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.224549714651 0.218282227539 103% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.0777580894703 0.0743258471296 105% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0807795062246 0.0701772020484 115% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.126742119148 0.128457276422 99% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0748271301347 0.0628817314937 119% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 12.7 14.3799401198 88% => Automated_readability_index is low.
flesch_reading_ease: 58.62 48.3550499002 121% => OK
smog_index: 3.1 7.1628742515 43% => Smog_index is low.
flesch_kincaid_grade: 10.3 12.197005988 84% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 11.43 12.5979740519 91% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 8.07 8.32208582834 97% => OK
difficult_words: 98.0 98.500998004 99% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 11.0 12.3882235529 89% => OK
gunning_fog: 10.4 11.1389221557 93% => OK
text_standard: 11.0 11.9071856287 92% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Maximum six paragraphs wanted.
Rates: 66.67 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 4.0 Out of 6
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.