The following appeared in a memorandum from the planning department of an electric power company.
"Several recent surveys indicate that home owners are increasingly eager to conserve energy. At the same time, manufacturers are now marketing many home appliances, such as refrigerators and air conditioners, that are almost twice as energy efficient as those sold a decade ago. Also, new technologies for better home insulation and passive solar heating are readily available to reduce the energy needed for home heating. Therefore, the total demand for electricity in our area will not increase—and may decline slightly. Since our three electric generating plants in operation for the past twenty years have always met our needs, construction of new generating plants will not be necessary."
Write a response in which you examine the stated and/or unstated assumptions of the argument. Be sure to explain how the argument depends on these assumptions and what the implications are for the argument if the assumptions prove unwarranted.
The author of memorandum from the planning department predicts that energy generated by three existing plants will be enough to satisfy needs of local residents and thus necessity to erect new generating plants does not exist. This conclusion is buttressed by evidence which is connected with it by assumptions which should be carefully scrutinized in order to gauge the soundness of the argument.
First of all, we are told that due to current trend to preserve energy the total demand for electricity in the area will not enhance. It is true that many of today's electric items more efficient than a decade ago, however, the number of items in each household has increased. In fact, today's residents tend to use more electric devices than before. Moreover, the area may attract new dwellers and thus the demand on electricity will increase. These two examples illustrate the writer's belief that demand in electricity will not improve or even decline is not warranted.
Additionally to it, the originator of the argument maintains that due to the fact that three existing plants have always produced enough electricity, they will meet people's needs in the future. Despite the fact that this claim may sound solid, it has some loopholes. First of all, the plants' equipment may become outdate and thus it perhaps loses its previous efficiency. Moreover, as we demonstrate above the demand may increase and therefore the plants may not generate enough electricity. In other words, the plants may lose with time its efficiency due to wearing of generators and the demand on the electricity may exceed the previous level and thus the people needs may not be meet. Moreover, the plants may meets dwellers' needs due to some other factors, for instance, people may use solar panels or wind mills. In this case, these residents generate some electricity for their needs. Consequently, if they stop to do it, the demand on electricity will surely increased. All these instances showcase that author's assumption that future people's needs will be met is not warranted.
Finally, the argument asserts that a construction of a new generating plants will not be necessary. However, we have proved that existing electric plants may not cope with future demand, in this case, the erection of new plants are a necessity. Additionally to it, we know that old plants have worked during twenty years, perhaps even if they produce enough energy the technology which was used to create the plants is obsolete and these plants may not be efficient as it require today. Moreover, they may use fossil fuels and be ecologically unfriendly. In this case, building new generating plants will be beneficial.
In conclusion, the author of the argument avers that demand for electricity in the area will not increase and thus three existing plants will produce enough energy and erection of new plants is superfluous. However, we have proved that demand for energy may enhance and three plants may not meet people's necessity. Therefore, the building of new plants may be a grave necessity. Thus author's prediction is based on false assumptions.
- The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Balmer Island Gazette."On Balmer Island, where mopeds serve as a popular form of transportation, the population increases to 100,000 during the summer months. To reduce the number of accidents involv 80
- 25/09/2017You are due to start a new job next week but you will not be able to because you have some problems.Write a letter to your new employer, in your letterExplain your situationDescribe your problemsTell him when you think you can start. 83
- Some people think that all university students should study whatever they like. Others believe that they should only be allowed to study subjects that will be useful in the future, such as those related to science and technology.Discuss both these views a 79
- Educational institutions should actively encourage their students to choose fields of study in which jobs are plentiful.Write a response in which you discuss the extent to which you agree or disagree with the claim. In developing and supporting your posit 70
- The luxuries and conveniences of contemporary life prevent people from developing into truly strong and independent individuals.Write a response in which you discuss the extent to which you agree or disagree with the statement and explain your reasoning f 40
Sentence: First of all, the plants' equipment may become outdate and thus it perhaps loses its previous efficiency.
Error: outdate Suggestion: No alternate word
--------------------
argument 1 -- OK
argument 2 -- not OK
argument 3 -- not exactly
--------------------
Attribute Value Ideal
Score: 2.5 out of 6
Category: Poor Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 1 2
No. of Sentences: 25 15
No. of Words: 513 350
No. of Characters: 2551 1500
No. of Different Words: 203 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.759 4.7
Average Word Length: 4.973 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.601 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 190 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 129 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 105 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 62 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 20.52 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 9.287 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.76 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.335 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.51 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.147 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 5 5