The council of Maple County, concerned about the county's becoming overdeveloped, is debating a proposed measure that would prevent the development of existing farmland in the county. But the council is also concerned that such a restriction, by limiting the supply of new housing, could lead to significant increases in the price of housing in the county. Proponents of the measure note that Chestnut County established a similar measure ten years ago, and its housing prices have increased only modestly since. However, opponents of the measure note that Pine County adopted restrictions on the development of new residential housing fifteen years ago, and its housing prices have since more than doubled. The council currently predicts that the proposed measure, if passed, will result in a significant increase in housing prices in Maple County.
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the prediction and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the prediction.
In the given paragraph, author tells us that council of Maple Country is seriously concerned about development of country and thus, have suggested a measure to prevent development of existing farmland in the country. Further they are also worried about the possibility of increase in housing prices after adopting this measures and gives examples of Chestnut Country to proof the point. These statement gives us insufficient information to make any kind of conclusion or prediction. The loop holes, questionable statements and multiple assumptions has made the idea quite weak.
Firstly, author tells that council of Maple Country have suggested a measure to prevent development of existing farmland in the country. We can understand there desire to become overdeveloped country but just considering one factor may not be responsible for over all development of country. Country becomes developed when it has a good education system established, growing trade relationships, vigorous agriculture activities, employment and many more. Thus, generalizing progress based on prevention of development of existing farmland in the country is not a proper approach.
Author also put forth a possibility that although such a restriction may lead to development, but also may cause rise in housing prices. While supporting his statement, he gives example of Chestnut Country. We can see multiple questions rises on above statement made. What type of houses is author talking about? Isn't that the case that different areas of country may have different prices of houses? What are current pricing rates? Will they population not be able to afford the prices? Due to such rise of questions we can not wholeheartedly accept authors statements.
Furthermore, author while concluding makes a very vague prediction that adopting proposed measure will result in significant increase in housing price. The proposed measures may also have some positive effects as well. For example, these measure may earn a huge quantity of revenue which may help in enhancing the GDP of country. Thus, further increase in pricing in houses may not bother the population of country. Thus, direct prediction is very weak way of concluding.
Finally, while concluding we can say that the council has not been undergoing a proper survey of the consequences and thus is making vague predictions. This may also lead to hamper growth of the Country. So, must collect sufficient proof before making any decision.
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Comments
e-rater score report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 4.5 out of 6
Category: Good Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 6 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 3 2
No. of Sentences: 24 15
No. of Words: 388 350
No. of Characters: 2040 1500
No. of Different Words: 200 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.438 4.7
Average Word Length: 5.258 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.867 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 158 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 129 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 85 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 58 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 16.167 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 7.104 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.75 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.294 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.294 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.108 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 1 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 3, column 313, Rule ID: EN_CONTRACTION_SPELLING
Message: Possible spelling mistake found
Suggestion: Isn't
...type of houses is author talking about? Isnt that the case that different areas of c...
^^^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
also, but, finally, first, firstly, furthermore, if, may, so, thus, well, while, for example, kind of, talking about
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 10.0 19.6327345309 51% => More to be verbs wanted.
Auxiliary verbs: 16.0 12.9520958084 124% => OK
Conjunction : 8.0 11.1786427146 72% => OK
Relative clauses : 9.0 13.6137724551 66% => More relative clauses wanted.
Pronoun: 22.0 28.8173652695 76% => OK
Preposition: 52.0 55.5748502994 94% => OK
Nominalization: 19.0 16.3942115768 116% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 2088.0 2260.96107784 92% => OK
No of words: 387.0 441.139720559 88% => More content wanted.
Chars per words: 5.39534883721 5.12650576532 105% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.43534841618 4.56307096286 97% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.93630567985 2.78398813304 105% => OK
Unique words: 201.0 204.123752495 98% => OK
Unique words percentage: 0.519379844961 0.468620217663 111% => OK
syllable_count: 652.5 705.55239521 92% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.7 1.59920159681 106% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 6.0 4.96107784431 121% => OK
Article: 2.0 8.76447105788 23% => OK
Subordination: 2.0 2.70958083832 74% => OK
Conjunction: 1.0 1.67365269461 60% => OK
Preposition: 1.0 4.22255489022 24% => More preposition wanted as sentence beginning.
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 24.0 19.7664670659 121% => OK
Sentence length: 16.0 22.8473053892 70% => The Avg. Sentence Length is relatively short.
Sentence length SD: 47.3576632013 57.8364921388 82% => OK
Chars per sentence: 87.0 119.503703932 73% => OK
Words per sentence: 16.125 23.324526521 69% => OK
Discourse Markers: 4.83333333333 5.70786347227 85% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.15768463074 97% => OK
Language errors: 1.0 5.25449101796 19% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 10.0 8.20758483034 122% => OK
Sentences with negative sentiment : 7.0 6.88822355289 102% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 7.0 4.67664670659 150% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.182813065554 0.218282227539 84% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.0498425661204 0.0743258471296 67% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0700197667469 0.0701772020484 100% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.105340538401 0.128457276422 82% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0646101319932 0.0628817314937 103% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 12.1 14.3799401198 84% => Automated_readability_index is low.
flesch_reading_ease: 46.78 48.3550499002 97% => OK
smog_index: 8.8 7.1628742515 123% => OK
flesch_kincaid_grade: 10.7 12.197005988 88% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 13.74 12.5979740519 109% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 8.63 8.32208582834 104% => OK
difficult_words: 103.0 98.500998004 105% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 11.0 12.3882235529 89% => OK
gunning_fog: 8.4 11.1389221557 75% => OK
text_standard: 11.0 11.9071856287 92% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 66.67 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 4.0 Out of 6
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.