The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Balmer Island Gazette.
"On Balmer Island, where mopeds serve as a popular form of transportation, the population increases to 100,000 during the summer months. To reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians, the town council of Balmer Island should limit the number of mopeds rented by the island's moped rental companies from 50 per day to 25 per day during the summer season. By limiting the number of rentals, the town council will attain the 50 percent annual reduction in moped accidents that was achieved last year on the neighboring island of Seaville, when Seaville's town council enforced similar limits on moped rentals."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
The author of this letter featured in the Balmer Island Gazette claims that accidents between mopeds and pedestrians will be reduced by half if the number of moped rentals is reduced during the summer months. However, there are many questions that need to be answered for this argument to have merit.
First, the author states that mopeds are a popular mode of transportation. Where did this information come from? Did Balmer Island residents and visitors fill out a survey, and if so, is this survey representative of the population? How many people completed this survey? Until the author confirms this statement by identifying the source of this information and providing details to its accuracy and validity, this claim cannot be taken as fact and cannot support this argument.
Furthermore, how does the author know that reducing moped rentals will decrease accidents? There is no guarantee that this is a causal relationship, as the author assumes, but correlation does not imply causation. Limiting the number of moped rentals may not have the desired effect on the number of accidents, and this will weaken the author’s argument.
Finally, the author draws his/her conclusion that lower moped rentals will decrease accidents from the neighboring island of Seaville, where a similar policy was enacted the year prior. However, the author does not give any other information about Seaville. Does Seaville also experience large population increases during summer months? Is the population of Seaville higher or lower than Balmer Island’s population? Did Seaville’s leadership enact any other safety policies to reduce the number of accidents between mopeds and pedestrians? Little information is provided about Seaville, and the author needs to answer these questions to draw parallels between Seaville and Balmer Island to have this point strengthen his/her argument.
The author of this letter centers his/her argument on the popularity of mopeds, and claims that a reduction in the number of moped rentals in summer months will reduce the number of accidents between mopeds and pedestrians by half. While this argument may hold water, the author must address the questions presented above to strengthen his/her claims.
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Comments
e-rater score report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 3.0 out of 6
Category: Satisfactory Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 0 2
No. of Sentences: 18 15
No. of Words: 354 350
No. of Characters: 1836 1500
No. of Different Words: 161 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.338 4.7
Average Word Length: 5.186 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.589 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 154 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 94 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 70 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 44 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 19.667 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 9.888 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.611 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.356 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.568 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.147 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 5 5
Transition Words or Phrases used:
also, but, finally, first, furthermore, however, if, may, so, then, while
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 12.0 19.6327345309 61% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 11.0 12.9520958084 85% => OK
Conjunction : 14.0 11.1786427146 125% => OK
Relative clauses : 9.0 13.6137724551 66% => More relative clauses wanted.
Pronoun: 31.0 28.8173652695 108% => OK
Preposition: 43.0 55.5748502994 77% => OK
Nominalization: 20.0 16.3942115768 122% => OK
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 1895.0 2260.96107784 84% => OK
No of words: 350.0 441.139720559 79% => More content wanted.
Chars per words: 5.41428571429 5.12650576532 106% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.32530772707 4.56307096286 95% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.7105372613 2.78398813304 97% => OK
Unique words: 167.0 204.123752495 82% => More unique words wanted.
Unique words percentage: 0.477142857143 0.468620217663 102% => OK
syllable_count: 575.1 705.55239521 82% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.6 1.59920159681 100% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 1.0 4.96107784431 20% => OK
Article: 6.0 8.76447105788 68% => OK
Subordination: 3.0 2.70958083832 111% => OK
Conjunction: 5.0 1.67365269461 299% => Less conjunction wanted as sentence beginning.
Preposition: 1.0 4.22255489022 24% => More preposition wanted as sentence beginning.
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 18.0 19.7664670659 91% => OK
Sentence length: 19.0 22.8473053892 83% => The Avg. Sentence Length is relatively short.
Sentence length SD: 58.1857657278 57.8364921388 101% => OK
Chars per sentence: 105.277777778 119.503703932 88% => OK
Words per sentence: 19.4444444444 23.324526521 83% => OK
Discourse Markers: 4.05555555556 5.70786347227 71% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.15768463074 97% => OK
Language errors: 0.0 5.25449101796 0% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 2.0 8.20758483034 24% => More positive sentences wanted.
Sentences with negative sentiment : 11.0 6.88822355289 160% => OK
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 5.0 4.67664670659 107% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.242966253956 0.218282227539 111% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.0935534158457 0.0743258471296 126% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0945991328109 0.0701772020484 135% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.158133602684 0.128457276422 123% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0738075724048 0.0628817314937 117% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 13.8 14.3799401198 96% => OK
flesch_reading_ease: 52.19 48.3550499002 108% => OK
smog_index: 3.1 7.1628742515 43% => Smog_index is low.
flesch_kincaid_grade: 10.7 12.197005988 88% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 14.1 12.5979740519 112% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 8.46 8.32208582834 102% => OK
difficult_words: 86.0 98.500998004 87% => OK
linsear_write_formula: 6.5 12.3882235529 52% => Linsear_write_formula is low.
gunning_fog: 9.6 11.1389221557 86% => OK
text_standard: 14.0 11.9071856287 118% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 66.67 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 4.0 Out of 6
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.