The following appeared in a letter from a firm providing investment advice to a client. "Homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating. Last year that region experienced twenty days with below-average temperatures, and local weather forecasters throughout the region predict that this weather pattern will continue for several more years. Furthermore, many new homes have been built in this region during the past year. Because of these developments, we predict an increased demand for heating oil and recommend investment in Consolidated Industries, one of whose major business operations is the retail sale of home heating oil".
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
In the letter, the firm who provides investment advice asserted that its client should invest in consolidated industries.To support this claim, the firm acknowledged the facts that northeastern regions are generally cold, forcasters of that region predicted same kind of extreme cold will be observed for several more years as it happened in last year and there have been a development of new homes in past years. Even if the assumptions may seem to be accurate at first, client should look into them in skeptical eyes and consider the gaps in those assumptions.
Firstly, the firm assumes that the prediction which is done by the forcasters are accurate, which can be wrong. As the forcasting is conducted by the local forcasters, there might be some lackings in equipment or infrustucture. The forcasting can not be taken in hand until it is validated. Moreover, forcastings are not always right about future. As it is about the weather, an exception from forcasting is pretty common. So, it cannot be said that this year would be as cold as last year based on that forecasting.
Secondly, the assumptions that the new homes will increase the demand of oil can also be wrong if the homes has another type of heating sysyem. For instance, if the new homes have built-in electrical heating system, oil would not be needed by those house owners.
Finally, the firm did not state where the factory will be situated. If the factory is situated in southern area, then the whole conclusion is in false assumptions. Furthermore, the firm stated that oil is one of the major business operations of consolidated industries. The question is, what are the other businesses? Those business, no matter how less significant they are, may become a drawback for the investor.
In sum, even if the firm has some potential points regarding the invest, the client should be look into the dreawback on the assumptions.
| Post date | Users | Rates | Link to Content |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-10-27 | Nafisa Ali Anika | 50 | view |
| 2019-09-30 | f.accounting | 55 | view |
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Comments
Essay evaluation report
Attribute Value Ideal
Final score: 3.0 out of 6
Category: Satisfactory Excellent
No. of Grammatical Errors: 0 2
No. of Spelling Errors: 0 2
No. of Sentences: 16 15
No. of Words: 321 350
No. of Characters: 1538 1500
No. of Different Words: 174 200
Fourth Root of Number of Words: 4.233 4.7
Average Word Length: 4.791 4.6
Word Length SD: 2.681 2.4
No. of Words greater than 5 chars: 98 100
No. of Words greater than 6 chars: 73 80
No. of Words greater than 7 chars: 60 40
No. of Words greater than 8 chars: 39 20
Use of Passive Voice (%): 0 0
Avg. Sentence Length: 20.062 21.0
Sentence Length SD: 13.488 7.5
Use of Discourse Markers (%): 0.75 0.12
Sentence-Text Coherence: 0.293 0.35
Sentence-Para Coherence: 0.556 0.50
Sentence-Sentence Coherence: 0.063 0.07
Number of Paragraphs: 5 5
Grammar and spelling errors:
Line 1, column 122, Rule ID: SENTENCE_WHITESPACE
Message: Add a space between sentences
Suggestion: To
...hould invest in consolidated industries.To support this claim, the firm acknowledg...
^^
Line 17, column 62, Rule ID: A_INFINITVE[1]
Message: Probably a wrong construction: a/the + infinitive
...irm has some potential points regarding the invest, the client should be look into the dre...
^^^^^^^^^^
Line 17, column 95, Rule ID: SHOULD_BE_DO[1]
Message: Did you mean 'looked'?
Suggestion: looked
...arding the invest, the client should be look into the dreawback on the assumptions. ...
^^^^
Transition Words or Phrases used:
also, finally, first, firstly, furthermore, if, look, may, moreover, regarding, second, secondly, so, then, for instance, kind of
Attributes: Values AverageValues Percentages(Values/AverageValues)% => Comments
Performance on Part of Speech:
To be verbs : 26.0 19.6327345309 132% => OK
Auxiliary verbs: 15.0 12.9520958084 116% => OK
Conjunction : 3.0 11.1786427146 27% => More conjunction wanted.
Relative clauses : 12.0 13.6137724551 88% => OK
Pronoun: 20.0 28.8173652695 69% => OK
Preposition: 35.0 55.5748502994 63% => OK
Nominalization: 7.0 16.3942115768 43% => More nominalizations (nouns with a suffix like: tion ment ence ance) wanted.
Performance on vocabulary words:
No of characters: 1600.0 2260.96107784 71% => OK
No of words: 320.0 441.139720559 73% => More content wanted.
Chars per words: 5.0 5.12650576532 98% => OK
Fourth root words length: 4.22948505376 4.56307096286 93% => OK
Word Length SD: 2.81968526612 2.78398813304 101% => OK
Unique words: 178.0 204.123752495 87% => More unique words wanted.
Unique words percentage: 0.55625 0.468620217663 119% => OK
syllable_count: 482.4 705.55239521 68% => OK
avg_syllables_per_word: 1.5 1.59920159681 94% => OK
A sentence (or a clause, phrase) starts by:
Pronoun: 2.0 4.96107784431 40% => OK
Article: 10.0 8.76447105788 114% => OK
Subordination: 6.0 2.70958083832 221% => Less adverbial clause wanted.
Conjunction: 0.0 1.67365269461 0% => OK
Preposition: 3.0 4.22255489022 71% => OK
Performance on sentences:
How many sentences: 16.0 19.7664670659 81% => Need more sentences. Double check the format of sentences, make sure there is a space between two sentences, or have enough periods. And also check the lengths of sentences, maybe they are too long.
Sentence length: 20.0 22.8473053892 88% => OK
Sentence length SD: 81.9031440178 57.8364921388 142% => OK
Chars per sentence: 100.0 119.503703932 84% => OK
Words per sentence: 20.0 23.324526521 86% => OK
Discourse Markers: 8.0625 5.70786347227 141% => OK
Paragraphs: 5.0 5.15768463074 97% => OK
Language errors: 3.0 5.25449101796 57% => OK
Sentences with positive sentiment : 3.0 8.20758483034 37% => More positive sentences wanted.
Sentences with negative sentiment : 4.0 6.88822355289 58% => More negative sentences wanted.
Sentences with neutral sentiment: 9.0 4.67664670659 192% => OK
What are sentences with positive/Negative/neutral sentiment?
Coherence and Cohesion:
Essay topic to essay body coherence: 0.188091438439 0.218282227539 86% => OK
Sentence topic coherence: 0.0507755238319 0.0743258471296 68% => OK
Sentence topic coherence SD: 0.0675385316031 0.0701772020484 96% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence: 0.100885668966 0.128457276422 79% => OK
Paragraph topic coherence SD: 0.0681346271922 0.0628817314937 108% => OK
Essay readability:
automated_readability_index: 12.1 14.3799401198 84% => Automated_readability_index is low.
flesch_reading_ease: 59.64 48.3550499002 123% => OK
smog_index: 3.1 7.1628742515 43% => Smog_index is low.
flesch_kincaid_grade: 9.9 12.197005988 81% => OK
coleman_liau_index: 11.72 12.5979740519 93% => OK
dale_chall_readability_score: 8.38 8.32208582834 101% => OK
difficult_words: 76.0 98.500998004 77% => More difficult words wanted.
linsear_write_formula: 18.5 12.3882235529 149% => OK
gunning_fog: 10.0 11.1389221557 90% => OK
text_standard: 10.0 11.9071856287 84% => OK
What are above readability scores?
---------------------
Rates: 50.0 out of 100
Scores by essay e-grader: 3.0 Out of 6
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Note: the e-grader does NOT examine the meaning of words and ideas. VIP users will receive further evaluations by advanced module of e-grader and human graders.